Epidemiologu Ilir Alimehmeti, teksa ka publikuar t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e marra nga Universiteti amerikan Johns Hopkins n\u00eb lidhje me Covid-19, ka b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb krahasim t\u00eb situat\u00ebs epidemiologjike n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, Kosov\u00eb dhe Maqedonin\u00eb e Veriut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Alimehmeti u shpreh se Kosova dhe Maqedonia e Veriut kan\u00eb regjistruar q\u00eb nj\u00eb ulje t\u00eb kurb\u00ebs sa i takon rasteve t\u00eb reja me Covid-19, duke filluar nga 25 gushti. Sipas tij, vendi yn\u00eb ka nj\u00eb ecje m\u00eb t\u00eb ngadalt\u00eb n\u00eb kurb\u00eb, dhe shtoi se r\u00ebnia mund t\u00eb filloj\u00eb gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs 5-15 shtator t\u00eb k\u00ebtij viti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Kjo p\u00ebrllogaritje, bazohet mbi sjelljen epidemiologjike t\u00eb varianteve t\u00eb m\u00ebparshme dhe n\u00eb vendet fqinje. Nd\u00ebr t\u00eb tjera, Alimehmeti deklaroi se ndryshe nga Kosova dhe Maqedonia e Veriut, fatmir\u00ebsisht Shqip\u00ebria paraqet nj\u00eb ecuri t\u00eb shesht\u00eb t\u00eb humbjeve t\u00eb jet\u00ebs nga Covid-19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sa i takon p\u00ebrqindjes s\u00eb humbjeve t\u00eb jet\u00ebs nd\u00ebr rastet e njohura, epidemiologu b\u00ebn me dije se Kosova dhe Shqip\u00ebria ecin me t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin rit\u00ebm, nd\u00ebrsa Maqedonia e Veriut \u00ebsht\u00eb 2-3 fish m\u00eb keq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Postimi i Alimehmetit n\u00eb rrjetin social, Facebook<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Le t\u00eb hedhim nj\u00eb sy mbi situat\u00ebn epidemiologjike n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, Kosov\u00eb dhe Maqedonin\u00eb e Veriut miqt\u00eb e mi!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n Rastet e reja pozitiv\u00eb p\u00ebr SARS-CoV-2: Fillimisht v\u00ebm\u00eb re q\u00eb edhe Kosova edhe Maqedonia e Veriut kan\u00eb filluar fatmir\u00ebsisht zbritjen e kurb\u00ebs s\u00eb rasteve t\u00eb reja q\u00eb m\u00eb dat\u00eb 25 Gusht 2021.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n Pra, de facto, masat kufizuese t\u00eb vendosura n\u00eb Kosov\u00eb pas dat\u00ebs 25 gusht 2021 duken t\u00eb panevojshme, pasi kurba epidemiologjike ishte tashm\u00eb n\u00eb r\u00ebnie.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n Shqip\u00ebria ka ecje m\u00eb t\u00eb ngadalt\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kurb\u00eb dhe, sipas p\u00ebrllogaritjeve (t\u00eb bazuara mbi sjelljen epidemiologjike t\u00eb varianteve t\u00eb m\u00ebparshme dhe n\u00eb vendet fqinje), pritet q\u00eb faza plateau dhe r\u00ebnia t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb n\u00eb periudh\u00ebn nd\u00ebrmjet datave 5 dhe 15 shtator 2021. Humbjet e jet\u00ebs nga COVID-19 te rastet e njohura:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n Si\u00e7 e dim\u00eb qart\u00eb tashm\u00eb, numri i humbjeve t\u00eb jet\u00ebs e ndjek kurb\u00ebn e rasteve t\u00eb reja me nj\u00eb diferenc\u00eb rreth 10-14 ditore. Si rrjedhoj\u00eb pritet q\u00eb Kosova dhe Maqedonia e Veriut t\u00eb hyjn\u00eb n\u00eb faz\u00eb r\u00ebn\u00ebse pak a shum\u00eb rreth datave 5-10 shtator.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n Fatmir\u00ebsisht Shqip\u00ebria paraqet nj\u00eb ecuri t\u00eb shesht\u00eb t\u00eb humbjeve t\u00eb jet\u00ebs (p\u00ebr 1 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb), ndryshe nga Kosova dhe Maqedonia.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n Nd\u00ebrsa, n\u00ebse studiojm\u00eb CFR (case-fatality rate), pra p\u00ebrqindjen e humbjeve t\u00eb jet\u00ebs nd\u00ebr rastet e njohura, v\u00ebm\u00eb se:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n Kosova dhe Shqip\u00ebria ecin me t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin rit\u00ebm, nd\u00ebrsa Maqedonia e Veriut \u00ebsht\u00eb 2-3 fish m\u00eb keq n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb drejtim. Situata \u00ebsht\u00eb dinamike dhe si e till\u00eb duhet trajtuar, por tashm\u00eb njohim shum\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb par\u00eb! Vendimet nuk duhet t\u00eb jen\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb bazuara mbi emocione, por vet\u00ebm mbi evidenca dhe analizime!<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Epidemiologu Ilir Alimehmeti, teksa ka publikuar t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e marra nga Universiteti amerikan Johns Hopkins n\u00eb lidhje me Covid-19, ka b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb krahasim t\u00eb situat\u00ebs epidemiologjike n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, Kosov\u00eb dhe…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6278,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"cybocfi_hide_featured_image":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6277","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politike"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/parleralbania.com\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6277","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/parleralbania.com\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/parleralbania.com\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/parleralbania.com\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/parleralbania.com\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6277"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/parleralbania.com\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6277\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6279,"href":"https:\/\/parleralbania.com\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6277\/revisions\/6279"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/parleralbania.com\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/parleralbania.com\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6277"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/parleralbania.com\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6277"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/parleralbania.com\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6277"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}